Back in March I wrote about a statement made by Wen Jiabao that made me sit up and take notice. He said:
“We have made a huge loans to the United States. Of course we are concerned about the safety of our assets. To be honest, I’m a little bit worried.
“I would like to call on the United States to honor its words, stay a credible nation and ensure the safety of Chinese assets.”
Now on this May 31st, Rebecca Christie of Bloomberg reports that Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has arrived in Beijing to tell China (again – because he did that back in March) that the U.S. administration will control its borrowing and that the U.S. government debt that China holds is safe.
Christie reports that Yu Yongding, a senior researcher at the government-backed Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and a former central bank adviser, said “I hope Geithner’s visit can soothe our nerves. The Chinese public is worried about the safety of its foreign- exchange reserves, and it will be helpful if Geithner can show us some arithmetic.”
Well CNBC has a lovely slideshow that describes the debt and who the creditors are. Hold on to your hat for the bottom line (in bold) at the end here. To see the slideshow, go to CNBC SLIDESHOW but here is the text:
Here goes:
Biggest Holders of US Gov’t Debt
As the US government spends an unprecedented amount of money to fix the nation’s economy, there is an equally great need to raise the cash to pay for it. This is accomplished through borrowing, whereby Uncle Sam sells Treasury securities of varying maturity.For investors, the government bills, notes and bonds are consdidered a safe financial product because they have a guaranteed rate of return, based on faith in future US tax revenues. The government has been partially funding operations via Treasury securities for decades. This borrowing adds to the national debt, which is now above $11 trillion and is rising every day. Much of that debt is held by private sector, but about 40 percent is held by public entities, including parts of the government. Here’s who owns the most.
By Paul Toscano
Posted 25 Mar 2009Source: US Treasury, US Federal Reserve & US Office of Debt Management
15. Luxembourg
A country slightly smaller than Rhode Island currently holds $87.2 billion in US government debt. Over the past 12 months, Luxembourg’s holdings have ranged between $66.1 billion and $104.7 billion.14. Depository Institutions
As of the fourth quarter of 2008, the Federal Reserve Board of Governors lists depository institutions as holding approximately $107.3 billion in US debt. This group includes commercial banks, savings banks and credit unions.13. Russia
Russia’s investment in US debt has grown over 330 percent in the past 12 months, from $35.2 billion in January 2008 to $119.6 billion in January 2009.12. United Kingdom
Britain currently holds $124.2 billion in US debt, but the number has fluctuated dramatically in the past year, ranging from $279 billion, but dropped to as little as $55 billion in the summer of 2008.11. Insurance Companies
According to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, insurance companies hold $126.4 billion in Treasury securities. This group includes property-casualty and life insurance firms.10. Brazil
The South American economic giant has $133.5 billion in holdings, according to the Treasury. Brazil’s holdings of US debt have been relatively stable over the past year, with a high of $158 billion in June, and a low of $127 billion in December.9. Caribbean Banking Centers
The US Treasury identifies this group as institutions in the Bahamas, Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, Netherlands Antilles, Panama and the British Virgin Islands. Holdings recently hit $176.6 billion, up from $109.2 billion in January 2008.8. Oil Exporters
Big oil means big money… and big investment into US debt. Included in the group of oil exporters are Ecuador, Venezuela, Indonesia, Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. The group combines for a total of $186.3 billion, up from $140.8 billion one year earlier.7. Other Investors
Although the most recent numbers for this category are from September 2008, this extremely diverse group includes individuals, government-sponsored enterprises, brokers and dealers, bank personal trusts, estates, corporate and non-corporate businesses for a total of $413.2 billion.6. Pension Funds
Pension funds control large amounts of money, reserved for personal retirements, and thus are obligated to make relatively safe investments. This group includes both private and local government pension funds, totaling $456.4 billion. The private pension fund category also includes US Treasury securities held by the Federal Employees Retirement System Thrift Savings Plan “G Fund.”5. State and Local Governments
US state and local governments have over a half-trillion dollars invested in American debt, according to the Federal Reserve. The level of investment has remained very stable over the past three years, moving within the range of $516.9 billion and $550.3 billion from 2006 to 2009.4. Japan
Another major US trade partner, Japan holds a huge amount of the country’s debt, with a stunning $634.8 billion. As recently as January 2008, Japan held the more US debt than any other country, but currently holds the #2 spot, as far as foreign governments are concerned.3. China (Mainland)
The buzz word in the market for US debt of recent has been China. The world’s most populous country is also the largest and most important international buyer of US debt. From September 2008 to January 2009, China raised its stake by over $120 billion. Standing at $739.6 billion in January, China’s holdings have skyrocketed from $492.6 billion from a year earlier. Hong Kong, which is not included in China’s total, holds an additional $71.7 billion.2. Mutual Funds
According to the Federal Reserve, mutual funds hold the second largest amount of US debt compared to any other group. Including money market funds, mutual funds and closed-end funds, this group of investments manages approximately $769.1 billion of US Treasury securities.1. Federal Reserve and US Intragovernmental Holdings
That’s right, the biggest holder of US government debt is the United States itself. The Federal Reserve system of banks and other US intragovernmental holdings account for a stunning $4.806 trillion in US Treasury debt. And with recent announcments from the Fed, potentially another $1 trillion may be added to its balance sheet… About a decade ago, the total government holdings were “only” $2.5 trillion.
Conclusion
I may be jumping to the wrong conclusion here, but if Sam is Sam’s biggest creditor – doesn’t that make Sam a safe bet?